MOTIVE - Des modèles pour la gestion forestière adaptative

RÉSUMÉ

The project MOdels for AdapTIVE forest Management (MOTIVE) is a large-scale integrated project in the 7^th Framework Programme of the EU that evaluates the consequences of the intensified competition for forest resources given climate and land use change. The project focuses on a wide range of European forest types under different intensities of forest management. In particular, MOTIVE examines impacts with respect to the disturbance regimes determining forest dynamics.

MOTIVE seeks to develop and evaluate strategies that can adapt forest management practices to balance multiple objectives under changing environmental conditions. The evaluation of different adaptive management systems will take place within a scenario analysis and a regional landscape framework. A wide range of possible scenarios will be taken into account from optimistic predictions (“no major change for forest ecosystems”) including possible opportunities offered by climate change (e.g. increased tree growth in northern areas) to worst case scenarios (“extreme deterioration of the growth conditions for trees”) on different time scales (short-, mid-, long term). The main forest types in Europe for the most important bioclimatic regions will be covered.

The overall strategy of MOTIVE is the development of adaptive forest management strategies and the implementation into a Decision Support toolbox using new and adapted models and tools taking into account scenarios for climate and other changes and risk based on the main drivers responsible for these changes and stakeholders perspectives. The management strategies will be developed in an iterative process that can be looked upon as feedback loop between work packages.